Vantage
View VantageFootball form fluctuates, context matters, and moving between competitions introduces calibration problems that a single signal cannot handle reliably.
A prediction engine that blends XGBoost, ELO ratings, and market consensus into calibrated forecasts for the Premier League and World Cup. Every forecast is recorded and settled against the result.
Settled forecast results
- Settled forecasts
- 242
- Model accuracy
- 55.0%
- Average Brier
- 0.194
Combined Premier League and World Cup results from the published ledger. Lower Brier is better; component comparisons are included on the project page.
Inspect results and methodology